DuckDuckRug
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Join DuckDuckRug on Telegram — real-time rug alerts & graduation predictions!
| Name | Token | Address | Creation Time | SOL Reserves | Trades | Holders | Buy/Sell Ratio | Graduation Prediction | Rug Risk | Smart Wallets | Graduation Progress |
|---|
Tokens scored 50+ graduate at 18% vs 0.4% baseline
Forward-tested AUC: 0.87 on 2,968 live predictions
Graduation rate by model score — higher scores = dramatically higher graduation probability.
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| Token | Predicted | Actual | Result |
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Includes low-score tokens that didn't graduate (trivially correct). See tier lift above for signal quality.
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Training Data: 6.5 million historical Pump.fun tokens (Jan 2024 - Feb 2026)
Model Type: XGBoost gradient boosting R8 Clean with 94 features (forward-tested AUC 0.87)
Key Features: Smart wallet activity (62K tracked wallets), buy/sell ratio, trade velocity, holder distribution, creator history
Validation: Forward-tested on 2,968 live predictions (AUC 0.87, top-50 precision 30%). No cherry-picking, no data leakage.
Updates: Model retrained weekly on fresh data to adapt to market conditions
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